Coffee prices continue to climb
New York, NY, United States (AHN) – Coffee lovers face rising prices because prices for coffee beans continue to rise on commodity markets.
Retail prices for bagged coffee on grocery store shelves have already gone up and more price increases are expected.
Poor growing conditions in South America and other coffee-producing areas has caused concern over shortages of supplies, resulting in investor speculation in commodity markets that has driven up coffee futures prices by 95 percent during the past 12 months.
Companies that roast green coffee beans and sell bagged coffee have raised prices by varying amounts in response to the increased prices they must pay for green coffee beans.
Earlier this week J.M. Smucker increased prices by 11 percent. It marks the fourth time it has raised prices in a year. Smucker sells Dunkin Donuts, Folgers and Millstone brands. Kraft, which owns Maxwell House, has raised its prices three times recently.
Then on Wednesday, Starbucks announced plans to raise prices in mid-July by 17 percent for bagged coffee.
Green Mountain Coffee Roasters also announced plans to raise coffee prices by 10 percent.
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Higher commodity prices for food and fuel a fact for the future
New York, NY, United States (AHN) – Soaring commodity prices are wreaking havoc on consumer’s budgets here in the U.S., but experts say not to expect them to go down because the culprit is increased global demand for food and fuel.
Increased demand from population growth in developing nations is not only causing prices to increase but it is also causing a scarcity of resources, according to Jeremy Grantham, who helped found Boston-based GMO asset management firm.
Grantham says that population growth and the rise of India, China and Brazil have caused a shift in balance in the world that has resulted in increasing prices for food, energy and metals.
Those factors are contributing to soaring global prices for those commodities. Although some people have blamed speculation in commodity markets or the fiscal policies of some governments or central banks, population growth is also a driving force in pushing prices upward. That means that if even commodity markets crash, prices will not stay far down for long, Grantham says.
Grantham notes that in the past century commodity prices declined by 70 percent because of economies that were achieved in using materials more efficiently or substituting materials. However, he said that trend is reversing as we reached the end of being able to achieve efficiencies at a time when the world population was growing.
In addition to global population growth, people in developing nations are earning more and consuming more as a result.
In his April 2011 newsletter, Grantham warned that it was “time to wake up” because “the days of abundant resources and falling prices are over forever.”
“The world is using up its natural resources at an alarming rate, and this has caused a permanent shift in their value,” Grantham wrote. “We all need to adjust our behavior to this new environment. It would help if we did it quickly.”
Grantham summarized the problem:
- Until about 1800, our species had no safety margin and lived, like other animals, up to the limit of the food supply, ebbing and flowing in population.
- From about 1800 on the use of hydrocarbons allowed for an explosion in energy use, in food supply, and, through the creation of surpluses, a dramatic increase in wealth and scientific c progress.
- Since 1800, the population has surged from 800 million to 7 billion, on its way to an estimated 8 billion, at minimum.
- The rise in population, the ten-fold increase in wealth in developed countries, and the current explosive growth in developing countries have eaten rapidly into our finite resources of hydrocarbons and metals, fertilizer, available land and water.
- Now, despite a massive increase in fertilizer use, the growth in crop yields per acre has declined from 3.5% in the 1960s to 1.2% today. There is little productive new land to bring on and, as people get richer, they eat more grain-intensive meat. Because the population continues to grow at over 1%, there is little safety margin.
- The problems of compounding growth in the face of finite resources are not easily understood by optimistic, short-term-oriented, and relatively innumerate humans (especially the political variety).
- The fact is that no compound growth is sustainable. If we maintain our desperate focus on growth, we will run out of everything and crash. We must substitute qualitative growth for quantitative growth.
- But Mrs. Market is helping, and right now she is sending us the Mother of all price signals. The prices of all important commodities except oil declined for 100 years until 2002, by an average of 70%. From 2002 until now, this entire decline was erased by a bigger price surge than occurred during World War II.
- Statistically, most commodities are now so far away from their former downward trend that it makes it very probable that the old trend has changed – that there is in fact a Paradigm Shift – perhaps the most important economic event since the Industrial Revolution.
- Climate change is associated with weather instability, but the last year was exceptionally bad. Near term it will surely get less bad.
- Excellent long-term investment opportunities in resources and resource efficiency are compromised by the high chance of an improvement in weather next year and by the possibility that China may stumble.
- From now on, price pressure and shortages of resources will be a permanent feature of our lives. This will increasingly slow down the growth rate of the developed and developing world and put a severe burden on poor countries.
- We all need to develop serious resource plans, particularly energy policies. There is little time to waste.
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Commodity prices soar as investors seek hedge against global instability
Washington, DC, United States (AHN) – Global economic and political instability has made paper money less attractive to investors who are now driving up prices for commodities such as oil, precious metals and crops.
Sovereign debt risk in Europe and the U.S., coupled with Japan’s post-earthquake and ongoing nuclear crisis on top of political instability in the Middle East, is behind investor decisions to put their money into commodities.
That much liquidity in commodity markets is pushing commodity prices to high levels.
Wednesday morning trading in London saw gold reach a new record nominal high of $1,460.92 per ounce while silver hit a 31-year nominal high of $39.63 per ounce.
Oil settled at $108.34 per barrel, which pushed U.S. gasoline prices up to an average $3.685.
Cotton prices are around $2 per pound, which has many U.S. farmers scrambling to plant cotton this year instead of food crops such as corn, soybeans or peanuts.
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Commodity Exchanges And Futures Trading – Principles And Operating Methods
Product Description
Commodity Exchanges AND Futures Trading- PRINCIPLES AND OPERATING METHODS by Julius B. Baer. Contents include: Preface x I HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT OF COMMODITY EXCHANGES 3 Ancient Markets Markets in the Dark Ages The Medieval Fairs Merchant Associations The Law Merchant Courts of the Fair The Law Merchant Becomes the Common Law in the United States Development of the Modern Commod ity Market Organized Commodity Markets Not All Com modity Markets Have Exchanges Orga… More >>
Commodity Exchanges And Futures Trading – Principles And Operating Methods
How to Do Futures Trading
Futures trading is the investment style of buying or selling futures contracts. Futures contracts have been used to manage cash market price risk for more than one century in the world. Unlike a stock, which represents equity in a company and can be held for a long time, if not indefinitely, futures contracts have specific time period. Futures trading allows a market participant to lock in prices and margins in advance and reduces the potential for unanticipated loss.
Futures contracts trade in standardized units in a highly visible, extremely competitive, continuous open auction. In this way, futures lend themselves to widely diverse participation and efficient price discovery, giving an accurate picture of the market.
There are two basic categories of futures participants: hedgers and speculators. In general, hedgers use futures for protection against adverse future price movements in the underlying cash commodity. The rationale of hedging is based upon the demonstrated tendency of cash prices and futures values to move in tandem. Speculators are the second major group of futures players. These participants include independent floor traders and investors. Independent floor traders, also called “locals”, trade for their own accounts. Floor brokers handle trades for their personal clients or brokerage firms.
For speculators, futures trading has important advantages over other investments:
Futures are highly leveraged investments–The trader puts up a small fraction of the value of the underlying contract (usually 5%-15% and sometimes less) as margin;
Commission charges on futures trades are small compared to other investments–the investor pays them after the position is liquidated;
Most commodity markets are very broad and liquid–Transactions can be completed quickly, lowering the risk of the time delay from the decision to the execution.
Most trading objects are familiar to you–from crude oil to gold, from metal to grain, from treasury bonds to stock index.
The basic requirement for beginners on futures trading is a futures trading plan, created according to his or her financial background, trading style and trading ability and so on. The capital you should have depends solely on your trading budget. If you take futures trading as a part-time job, then investing lower amounts for small profits can be the right plan. But if you want to make futures trading for your living, then you should invest much more.
Keep in mind that futures prices are more volatile than stock prices. Remember it is margin trading and expanded more than 10 times as your normal investment. You need to ask yourself how much you can afford to lose. Be extremely honest with yourself about this, in fact, be more than honest so that you are sure to not overextend your budget.
Here are some simple tips that will help you increase your profit potential and prevent you from losing money.
1. Understanding the basics of fundamental analysis and technical analysis
When you do futures trading, it is very important to understand the difference between fundamental analysis and technical analysis. A quick explanation of the difference among the two types of analysis is: fundamental analysis focuses on the relationship of supply and demand while technical analysis focuses on price action and market behavior, especially on chart and technical indicators.
2. Trading with the trend
No matter which futures you are trading, you have to trade with the trend. As you know, the price will be changed when the supply and the demand have been changed. If no further factors occur, the trend used to be going on. However, trading with the trend is a complex principle as it depends on the trading style. A day trader may follow hourly trends as he trade according to minute changes in prices. On the other hand a long term investor or position trader may follow weekly, monthly or even yearly trends.
3. Minimizing the losses and running the profit
Minimizing the losses means quitting the trade quickly when market is against you. As no one want to quit a trade in loss, it is the toughest decision to make.
No one trading futures will want to quite a trade providing great profits. But remember to quit a trade as soon as you feel a negative trend. Meanwhile, running futures contracts when the trend is the same as whcih you wish.
4. Managing the risk
Managing the risk is most important to beginners. It is an essential practice for you to set up a stop order before you trade to evade big loss and move your stop order to preserve profit. Keeping hands off from highly fluctuating markets and investing in mini contracts, paying attention to surprise reports, diversifying trading fields are some of the practices involved.
Always monitor national and international trends, especially pay more attention to relative contracts trends, you will make a success on futures trading. Visit SoloInvest and TradingSolutions to know more.
Bing Zou is the blogger of Make Money Online and New Lifestyle.
Featured information for you to work at home and make money online.
You can contact him at email:paulzou@yahoo.com
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